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Pick Details

MIA
at
SF
(905) Miami vs. San Francisco (906) 9:45 PM | Thu, Apr 22 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000)
Pick
SF (-140) @ pinnacle

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the SF Giants at 9:45 ET.

The Giants' three World Series titles (2010, 2012 and 2014) seem like they came 20 years ago, although San Francisco just barely missed the postseason last year with a 29-31 record. The Miami Marlins entered last year's COVID-shortened season having posted the NL's worst record in both 2019 (57-105) and 2018 (63-98). The Marlins suffered a significant COVID break after the team's opening series and did not play from July 27 through Aug 4. However, the Marlins not only made up all of its missed games but at 31-29 (just two games better than San Francisco), made the expanded playoffs.

Both teams played Wednesday on the East Coast, as Miami completed a 3-2 homestand with a 3-0 win over Baltimore, while the Giants lost 6-5 at Philly to finish 3-3 on a six-game road trip. Both were forced to make the cross-country trip without a day off but at least the Giants are back home. These teams played a three-game series last weekend in Miami, with the Marlins taking the first two games, before the Giants avoided a sweep with a 1-0 win on Sunday. Miami has opened 8-9, while the Giants have surprised with their 11-7 start.

Taking the mound tonight for the first of a four-game series will be Miami's Daniel Castano (0-0, 1.80 ERA) and San Francisco's Aaron Sanchez (0-1, 2.45 ERA). Both pitched in the series in Miami, with Castano allowing one run in five innings of a 4-1 Miami win on Friday and Sanchez going 4.2 innings while allowing just ONE run (Giants would lose 7-6). Castano's first season in "the Bigs" was 2020 and this marks just his ninth appearance (8th start). He owns a 2.86 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in that limited action. Some may remember Sanchez from the 2016 season when went 15-2 for Toronto while winning the American League ERA title (3.00). However, from 2016-19 he was just 10-23, as injuries plagued him. An MRI revealed a torn capsule in his right shoulder in August of 2019 and he missed the rest of the 2019 season and the entire 2020 season. Sanchez agreed to a one-year, $4 million contract with the San Francisco Giants in February of 2021.

Sanchez has allowed four runs in 14.2 innings of his first three starts for San Francisco (2.45 ERA) but the Giants have given him just ONE run of support while he's been in the game. Expect that to change here, as the Giants have opened 5-1 at home in 2021.

Good luck...Larry

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