|3.5 ST (-117) @ pinnacle|
Matchup: Stefano Travaglia v Filip Krajinovic
Pick: 8* Stefano Travaglia +3.5 Games
Travaglia suffered a slump in February/March but he lost to some talented opponents (Tiafoe x2, McDonald & Fognini.) He reached a final in Melbourne to start the year and was in a nice rhythm despite defeat in Monte Carlo last week.
Krajinovic has solid results on clay but it's not his strongest surface, his forehand can be a weakness on the clay, many aspects of his game adapt well to the surface though.
Travaglia is a natural on clay, his forehand can create nice angles while his defense/movement is strong, their only previous meeting on clay was a close matchup, Travaglia actually led 6-1/4-2 before losing in three sets.
Travaglia showed he's warm on this surface once again last week, expect him to keep this match close and cover the spread. Travaglia +3.5 Games.