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Pick Details

MIL
at
SD
(955) Milwaukee vs. San Diego (956) 10:10 PM | Mon, Apr 19 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1400)
Pick
SD (-140) @ caesars

10* San Diego (10:05 ET): The Padres came into the 2021 season with incredible expectations and I’m a little impressed that they haven’t collapsed under the weight of them. Remember that Fernando Tatis Jr missed about two weeks with an injury and hasn’t played particularly well when in the lineup. But the team is now 10-7 after salvaging a game with the Dodgers on Sunday. I think “brighter times” are ahead for a San Diego team that should be one of the National League’s best clubs. 

Not only is Milwaukee off an extra innings loss to Pittsburgh on Sunday, but they head to the West Coast without Christian Yelich (2018 MVP), Kolten Wong and Lorenzo Cain. This team is not hitting well as four regulars are below .200 and the team has scored just 66 runs in 15 games. So look for the Brewers to REALLY struggle at the plate tonight as they must face Joe Musgrove, who has a 0.47 ERA and 0.474 WHIP through three starts, including a no-hitter. So far, Musgrove has allowed just ONE run in 19 IP and has a 24-2 KW ratio. 

The Brew Crew counter with Brandon Woodruff, who’s off to a fine start to the season himself. But it’s not as good as Musgrove’s and he’s facing a tougher lineup today. Given their lack of hitting, Milwaukee probably should have even fewer runs scored this year. The absences from the lineup are significant and I think too tough to overcome. It was almost two years ago, but the last time the Brewers came to Petco Park, they got swept. SD is 26-10 L36 as a home favorite and 18-8 L26 series openers. 10* San Diego

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