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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 8 2021 at 4:07 PM ET
Tampa Bay
at
Oakland
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1050) - Final Total 9
Pick
Over 7.5 (105) @ pinnacle

10* Over Rays/Athletics (4:07 ET): These teams have met five times this season and none of the five games have seen more than seven total runs scored. Thus, the Under has gone 5-0. Four of the five games have seen five or fewer runs scored with three seeing three or less. Yesterday was a 2-1 Oakland victory as they are now ahead 3-2 in the season series with Tampa Bay. Despite so much evidence to the contrary, I’m going with the Over here as the two teams are due to put some runs on the board. 

It’s not just this season. The Under is 11-2 in the L13 games between the Rays and A’s. But Oakland had gone Over in five of six games before yesterday’s series opener. A big reason for that is they allowed eight or more runs in three of the games. Frankie Montas, who gets the starting nod Saturday, saw his last start go Over. Though that was a 5-4 A’s victory. There have been two times this year that Montas has allowed 6+ runs while lasting four innings or less. Here he’ll be facing a TB lineup that - despite only three hits yday - is averaging 5.5 runs per game on the road. 

The Rays’ week began with a four-game sweep of the Angels out in Los Angeles. They scored at least seven runs in three of those wins. So I think they’ll do better at the plate today. As for Oakland’s hitters, they’ll face Tyler Glasnow, who has allowed multiple home runs in two of his past three starts. There’s no denying that it’s been a strong start to 2021 for Glasnow, but there was a start vs. Toronto where he allowed five runs. The Over is 4-1 in the Rays’ last five as a road favorite. 10* Over Rays/Athletics

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