|Under 44.5 (-106) @ pinnacle|
5 of 5 (100%) Experts with a pick on the total are aligned. 9* play on the Kansas City vs Denver UNDER (Total).
Ben Burns: EARLY ESPN 10* TOP GUN: SICK 18-5 RECORD!
The Chiefs are off a high-scoring game with the Bengals and have been on an 'over' streak. Those results have helped to provide us with a generously high total for Saturday afternoon's game, at Denver. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. The Chiefs know they can score; the offense is in good shape, entering the playoffs. They'd like their defense to have some momentum/confidence though and Denver figures to be the perfect opponent for that. The Broncos have real trouble scoring, regardless of who's behind center. (With Bridgewater out and Lock getting hurt last week, they're likely down to Rypien.) They've failed to score more than 13 points in any of their past three games. While the Bengals lit them up, the Chiefs have still held three of their past five opponents to 10 points or less and six of their past eight opponents to 14 or less. Though they may have nothing to play for, the Broncos are still going to play hard defensively. They don't want to get blown out in front of the home fans. The UNDER is a perfect 6-0 the past six times that Denver allowed 30 or more points in its previous game. The last time they allowed 30 or more, the Broncos responded by holding the Chargers to 13 points in their next game. After they gave up 34 to those same Chargers last week, look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting.
Professional Sports Picks: Prosportspicks Data Driven NFL Play
Our models suggest that this Saturday afternoon contest at Empower Field at Mile High will be of the low-scoring variety. The Chiefs' defense got torched by Cincinnati last week, but they had played great for several weeks until then. The Broncos rarely give up big numbers and their offense has been inept all season long. KC won 22-9 when these two teams met on December 5. The under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.
Will Rogers: CHIEFS/BRONCOS: NFL 10* (7-1-1) HERE NOW!
The Chiefs meet the Broncos in a very meaningful game for K.C., but not really for Denver. After limiting opposing teams' offense in the extreme, the Chiefs have given up two high totals in three games, and seen their defensive stats plummet. As much as the Chiefs need a win, this is also their last chance to right the ship on defense before the post season. The good news is that they face Drew Lock, rather than Burrow or Herbert.
While this is not a really meaningful game for the Broncos other than Lock, it is a home game, so look for some effort. The Denver defense stumbled last week but has held most teams to under 20 points, or in the case of the Chiefs last time out, 22 points. Their offense has stumbled for more than a week, averaging only 12 points for the last 3 games.
Both teams appear to be over the worst of covid, touch wood, but the Chiefs are missing their best RB, and the Broncos, their QB and other significant players. Look for the Chiefs to focus on defense in this game. Look for a return to the tight defense they showed for much of the year, with the Broncos struggling to put points on the board. If the Broncos do play all out, they have the potential to slow the Chiefs' potentially explosive offense.
Lana Lane: NFL SAT TOTAL BLOWOUT
KC defence has turned the season around for the super bowl champs two seasons ago. KC D does not rank especially high but the last half of the season they have been lights out.
Denver D is ranked 9th overall, and their O cant score points. Denver D has been equallly efficient on D, and their O hasnt lived up to their part of the deal.
Public is in love with the KC offense but we will take the under in what will be a KC rout but will fall under the number.
American Sports Analysts: ASA's NFL Total Blowout! 21-11 / 66% RUN!
KC has clinched the AFC West already but they do still potentially have something to play for. If they win and Tennessee loses @ Houston (unlikely) the Chiefs can move up to the #1 seed. We love the way KC’s defense is playing right now. The only 2 poor outings they’ve had over their last 9 games were vs the Bengals & Chargers, two of the better offenses in the NFL. In their other 7 games the KC defense has not allowed more than 17 points and they held 4 of those opponents to 10 points or less. The Denver offense has been terrible as of late scoring 13 or less in 4 of their last 5 games. Bridgewater is out at QB for the Broncos and his back up Lock has done nothing the last 2 weeks. They’ve scored 13 points in each of their last 2 games while totaling 158 yards vs Las Vegas and 319 yards vs the LA Chargers who have one of the worst defenses in the NFL (26th in scoring defense). In their last 5 meetings with the Chiefs the Broncos have scored an average of just 10 PPG and they haven’t topped 16 points in any of those games. Earlier this year they scored only 9 points @ KC in a 22-9 loss. Denver will struggle to score here vs this hot KC defense. The Broncos defense is the strength of their team to say the least. They rank 9th in total defense and 3rd in points scored allowing just 18 PPG. They’ve had some solid success vs Mahomes and company holding them to 23 or less in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The only chance Denver has is to make this a very slow paced type game which they are used to ranking 29th in the NFL in that category. KC may play fast early but if they get a lead they are known for milking the clock in the 2nd half (15th in 2nd half pace) in that situation. The Under is 5-1-1 the last 7 in this AFC West rivalry and we expect another one here.
Best of luck!
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