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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 8 2021 at 6:10 PM ET
Cincinnati
at
Cleveland
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000)
Pick
CLE (-110) @ caesars

My 10* IL "Best of the Best" is on the Cle Indians at 6:10 ET.

The Cleveland Indians won the AL Central title from 2016-18 but missed the playoffs in 2019, despite 93 wins. Cleveland was back in the postseason last year (35-25) but was eliminated by the Yankees in the wild card round, Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Reds ended a six-year postseason drought last season by going 31-29 to earn a wild card spot in the expanded playoffs but were also eliminated right away by Atlanta when the Reds were held scoreless over two games (22 innings). These two Ohio rivals met back in Cincinnati (Apr 16-18) for a three-game series with the Reds taking two of the three. That came as somewhat of a surprise, as the Reds had totaled just 27 runs, hit .196 as a team and struck out 121 times while losing 10 of their last 12 games with the Indians (since July 2018). The teams opened a three-game series in Cleveland last night and Wade Miley pitched the 17th no-hitter in Cincinnati Reds' history, as Cincy's 3-0 win got them to .500 on the season (15-15), while the Indians fell to 17-14.

Luis Castillo (1-3, 6.07 ERA) will take the mound in Game 2 of the series and the team's Opening Day starter has quite an act to follow. The Reds' pitching staff has thrown back-to-back shutouts, having won 1-0 in 10 innings on Thursday at home over the White Sox. The Cleveland Indians will counter with Aaron Civale (4-0, 3.20 ERA). Castillo was BRUTAL in the team's Opening Day loss, lasting just 3.1 innings while allowing 10 runs (eight earned). He rebounded in his next start (seven scoreless innings in an 11-4 home win over Pittsburgh) but in four starts since, he's 0-2 (team is 0-4) with a 5.59 ERA. As for Civale, he's 4-0 in six starts (Cleveland is 5-1) and in just this third season, is looking for a career-high FIFTH win. Civale totaled just SEVEN wins over 22 career starts spanning the 2019 and 2020 seasons.

This sets up as a "great spot" for the Indians. Cleveland had won FIVE in a row and nine of 11 before getting no-hit by Miley. Cleveland had totaled 29 runs during its five-game winning streak (5.8 RPG) and the Cleveland bats have given Civale a run-support average of SEVEN in his first six starts.

Good luck...Larry

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