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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 7 2021 at 7:20 PM ET
Philadelphia
at
Atlanta
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 7.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1155)
Pick
ATL (-165) @ bet365

7* Atlanta (7:20 ET): Both the Braves and Phillies are off to great starts this week. Each swept its previous opponent and now are set to renew pleasantries. This is already the third series between the NL East rivals this season. The Phillies swept the first (in Philly) before the Braves nearly returned the favor, taking two of three here at home (lost the last game). It will be full capacity at Truist Park this weekend as Atlanta is off a six-game road trip where they were swept by Toronto and then swept the Nationals. The Phillies are coming off a seven-game home stand, which ended with four straight wins over the Brewers. 

I like the Braves here as Philly has not been good on the road. The Phils are just 4-9 away from the City of Brotherly Love and getting outscored by two full runs per game! They turn to Zach Eflin for Friday’s opener and he has a 6.39 ERA on the road so far. Alarming is the number of hits Eflin has allowed as he’s given up 19 in just the last two starts alone. He’s allowed at least seven hits in five consecutive starts. This will be the third time Eflin has faced Atlanta this season and true to his team’s form, the home game was a win while the road game was a loss. Though the Phils are 17-15, they have a -12 run differential. 

The Braves gave up just six runs against the Nationals and hope Charlie Morton can continue the string of strong efforts on the mound. Morton, like Eflin, has struggled a bit of late. This will be his third time starting against the Phillies and of course, the home game resulted in a win while the road game was a loss. At home, Morton held them to one run in six innings. Atlanta is the stronger offensive team and that should propel them to victory tonight. 7* Atlanta

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