Pick Details

BAL
at
PHI
(263) Baltimore vs. Philadelphia (264) 1:00 PM | Sun, Oct 18 2020
Sport: NFL | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Win (900) - Final Score PHI 28 at BAL 30
Pick
10 PHI (-111) @ pinnacle

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Baltimore.  The Eagles return home on Sunday after back-to-back road games vs. the 49ers and Steelers.  Philly will welcome the Ravens, who blew out Cincy last week, 27-3.  Baltimore's been installed as a huge road favorite, but the number is inflated, per my models.  One of the things I love to do is play on big home underdogs off back to back road games, and especially if they're playing an opponent off a home game, provided that opponent wasn't off a SU/ATS loss.  Since 1980, our big home dogs (of more than 9 points) have covered 86.2% of the time (25-4 ATS).  That bodes well for Philadelphia on Sunday.  As does the fact that the Ravens have covered just nine of their last 33 road games off a win by more than 18 points.  Take the Eagles + the points.  9* play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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