|-7.5 DAL (-120) @ bet365|
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Mavs could use a big win right now and the Kings are the perfect opponent to get it against. Off 9-straight losses, Sacramento is in freefall at the moment. Opportunities to snap the skid are on the horizon, just not yet. Not here. The Mavs won by 19 last time the teams met here, a 130-111 blowout. Having recently faced some top tier defensive teams, they're going to be happy to see Sacramento. Already, in April, Dallas has faced the Knicks twice. NY allows the fewest points in the league and also holds opposing teams to the lowest fg percentage. The Mavs have also faced the Jazz, Bucks and 76ers this month. Those three teams all rank in the top 5, in terms of opposing teams field goal percentage. The Kings, on the other hand, give up more points (118.8 ppg) than any team in the league. The Kings allow opposing teams to connect 49.1% of their field goals. That's also the worst mark in the NBA. This is the type of defense that Dallas can "get healthy" against. Expect the Mavs, 7-5 ATS (8-4 SU) when off an upset loss, to put up a big number and, ultimately, for the Kings to be unable to keep up.