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Pick Details

PHI
at
ATL
(955) Philadelphia vs. Atlanta (956) 7:20 PM | Fri, Apr 09 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000)
Pick
ATL (-125) @ Draftkings

My 10* Division Dominator (NL East) is on the Atl Braves at 7:20 ET.

The Atlanta Braves opened the 2021 season with a three-game series at Philadelphia against the Phillies. The Braves are looking for a FOURTH NL East title (last season led the Dodgers 3-1 in the NLCS before losing THREE in a row), while Philadelphia opened the season seeking its first winning season since 2011, with hopes of ending a NINE-year postseason drought. The Phils swept the Braves 3-0 in the season's opening series for both teams, holding the Braves to just THREE runs.

Braves fell to 0-4 with a 6-5 Tuesday loss at Washington but then swept a Wednesday doubleheader (again, 7-inning games this season) by beating the Nats 7-6 and 2-0. As for the Phillies, they took two of three from the Mets and head to Atlanta for this three-game series at 5-1 (both teams had Thursday off). Tonight's contest marks Philly's first road game of the season and it's also the Braves' first home game. The starters are Zach Wheeler and Charlie Morton, who squared off against each other last Saturday in Philadelphia.

Wheeler out-pitched Morton in that 4-0 Philly win, throwing seven shutout innings (allowed just ONE hit) with a 10-0 KW ratio. Morton pitched six innings, allowing three ERs on six hits in five innings. In this quick pitching 're-hook,' I'm siding with Morton and the Braves. The Braves signed Morton to a one-year contract and hope that Morton can deliver like he did for Houston (14-7 and 15-3 in 2017 and 2018) and for Tampa Bay, when he went 16-6 in 2019. Moston was just 2-2 in nine starts in 2020 but he then led the Rays to wins in his first three playoff starts, allowing just one ER over 15.2 IP (0.57 ERA), before losing Game 3 of the World Series.

The Atlanta bats have been relatively quiet so far but in 21 home games at night vs righties last season, averaged 7.1 RPG. Atlanta is also a MONEY-MAKING 53-21 in its last 74 games as a home favorite. Expect Morton and Atlanta to prevail in this first game of the series, after their opening series in Philly went so poorly.

Good luck...Larry

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