Pick Details

Paul Felder vs. Rafael Dos Anjos 5:00 PM | Sat, Nov 14 2020
Sport: UFC | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000)
RDA (-180) @ pinnacle

I'm backing RAFAEL DOS ANJOS on Saturday night. I don't generally go to my highest rating for favorites of this size. However, I love how this one sets up for dos Anjos and feel that the price could easily be much higher. For starters, dos Anjos is dropping down from Welterweight, where he'd been fighting some of the better fighters in that weight class. Now, at lightweight, he'll face an opponent much smaller than the one's he's been facing. To his credit, Felder is an exciting fighter. He's had some good wins. However, he's taking this fight on really short (five days) notice. His last fight (February) was a loss and he talked about retiring. I didn't feel the following comments, made by Felder, inspired much confidence: "With everything going on in the world, the sad things going on in people's lives -- losing their jobs and suffering. We just lost Alex Trebek to pancreatic cancer. I was like, 'Man, you're still 35. You're young, you're in shape. Save the day. Let's go get paid, let's have fun. You're fighting a legend.' What do I have to lose?" To me, he's already got his excuse and he'll be happy to take his beating and get his paycheque. As Felder mentioned, he's fighting a "legend." Doing so on short notice is going to prove awfully tough. After he wins this one, dos Anjos believes he can get a fight against McGregor. While it remains to be seen if a McGregor fight (they were previously supposed to fight) will come to fruition, I fully expect dos Anjos, who was previously (2015, 2016) the champ at this weight class, to take care of business against Felder. 


What does ‘Star Rating’ mean?
Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
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