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Pick Details

(975) Kansas City vs. Chi. White Sox (976) 2:10 PM | Sun, Apr 11 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1206)
CHW (-134) @ pinnacle

My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Chi White Sox at 2:10 ET.

The Kansas City Royals opened the season 2-0 by scoring 25 runs in their first two games against the Rangers, However, the Royals have lost THREE of four while scoring a total of just eight runs after a 6-0 loss Thursday at Chicago (KC has scored FIVE runs in the team's three losses). The Chicago White Sox opened by losing THREE of four in Anaheim vs the Angels but have rebounded to win THREE of four. Both teams are 4-4 after a rare Friday off and a Saturday postponement.

Mike Minor (1-0, 6.00 ERA) starts for KC and Dylan Cease (0-0, 5.79 ERA) for Chicago. Minor had a couple of solid seasons for Texas in 2018 (12-8) and 2019 (14-10) but was 0-5 (5.60 ERA) in seven starts for the Rangers in 2020 when he was traded to Oakland, where in five appearances (four starts) he was 1-1 with a 5.48 ERA. Naturally, KC signed him to a two-year deal for $18 million (can't make this stuff up). Minor picked up the victory in his start with KC, despite allowing four ERs in his first three innings, before settling down with three more shutout innings as the Royals came from behind to defeat the Texas Rangers 11-4.

Two White Sox starters have ERAs of 0.00, while the other three are over 4.00. Cease's ERA is 5.79 ERA after getting no decision in a 7-4 loss to the Angels. He struggled in the first inning of his April 4 start, allowing a 451-foot HR to Shohei Ohtani, before settling down. He finished allowing three runs on five hits in 4.2 innings. Cease has made 26 starts for Chicago the last two seasons (9-11) with a 5.00 ERA.

However, my play on Chicago has little to do with Cease. The Royals have only had one close game (decided by one or two runs) in their six decisions. They scored in double figures in their first two games and secured their third win with a 3-0 shutout. Yet, they have scored a total of five runs in their three losses. Meanwhile, the White Sox's four wins have come by at least four runs, with three of them coming by six runs. That's in stark contrast to their four losses, which have come by one, two, three and four runs. More notably, Minor is a lefty and Chicago was 14-0 vs left-handed starters last season (averaged 7.1 RPG) plus has opened 3-0 against them in 2021, averaging 9.3 RPG. You want to 'step in front of that train?' Not I.

Good luck...Larry


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