|-4.5 DUKE (-104) @ pinnacle|
Duke has been the better team overall this season but North Carolina is on an absolute roll since the start of the NCAA Tournament. Duke is playing its best basketball as well. Expect an all-time classic here, and Duke is capable of stretching this beyond -4.5 given its recent form. The Blue Devils are up against the spread at 20-16-2 and have covered in their last three contests following a five-game run of failing to do so. Overs are 21-16-1 for Duke, including an even 2-2 in the NCAA Tournament after the game against Arkansas went under the betting total by a single point. This is the eighth-highest scoring offense in college basketball at 80.1 points per game on strong shooting splits of 56.3% from two and 37% from deep, both in the top 35 nationally. Duke hasn't been quite as effective defensively but is still well above average across the board, allowing 67.4 points per game with opponents shooting 46.6% from two and 31.8% from deep.
Paolo Banchero could be the top pick in the upcoming NBA Draft having averaged 17.1 points, 7.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game en route to earning second-team All-American honors. Wendell Moore Jr. adds 13.5 points, 4.4 assists and 1.4 steals per game, while Williams piles up 11.3 points, 7.5 rebounds and 2.9 blocks per contest on 71.9% shooting from the field, earning the ACC Defensive Player of the Year Award in the process.
Everyone is expected to be healthy and available for the Blue Devils heading into the Final Four.
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