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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
Apr 29 2021 at 5:10 PM ET
Detroit
at
Chicago
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1260) - Final Score CHW 3 at DET 1
Pick
-1.5 CHW (126) @ Fanduel

ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Run Line: GAME ONE of DOUBLE HEADER: Chicago White Sox -1.5 runs (+120) over Detroit Tigers, Thursday at 5:10 PM ET - The Tigers got a 5-2 win Tuesday over the White Sox but had entered that game losing 10 of 11 games!  Chicago entered Tuesday's game having won 6 of 7.  The White Sox are fully expected to bounce back here and have a huge pitching edge on the mound and that is why the money line on this game is in the -200 range.  To get the value with this bounce back situation we utilize the run line.  Yes, the White Sox must win this game by at least 2 runs and it only is a 7-inning game but Chicago should absolutely jump on the Tigers early and hold a big lead throughout and this gets us a comeback return currently in the +120 range.  Great line value considering Chicago's last 6 wins have featured 5 by 2+ runs.  Casey Mize gets the start for Detroit here.  The right-hander was winless with a 6.99 ERA in his 7 starts last season.  This season he started okay but is quickly reverting to poor form again.  In his last two starts Mize allowed 11 earned runs in under 10 innings combined on the mound while also serving up 5 home runs!  He will prove no match for his counterpart, Carlos Rodon in this one.  The White Sox left-hander had a great spring training (1.32 ERA in 4 games) and this has carried right into a phenomenal start to the regular season.  Rodon is 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA and has held opponents to a minuscule .081 batting average!  The White Sox have won his 3 starts by a combined score of 22-5 and another run line cover with him on the mound should not be a problem here.  Per our computer math model a rout is quite likely in this immediate revenge situation.  As you can see above, all the key edges are with the home team in this one and we are grabbing them on the run line.  Blowout alert!  Bet the Chicago White Sox -1.5 runs on the run line.

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