Pick Details

(553) Minnesota vs. Atlanta (554) 2:30 PM | Mon, Jan 18 2021
Sport: NBA | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Loss (-954) - Final Total 205
Over 227.5 (-106) @ pinnacle

I'm playing on Atlanta/Minnesota OVER the total. The Hawks have been on an extended 'under' streak. However, I expect it to come to an end this afternoon. The last time that these teams met, they combined for 247 points. The time before that, they combined for 238. Both those games had O/U lines in the high 230s. Yet, thanks in large part to Atlanta's recent 'under' streak, we're working with a much lower O/U number here. For a "non-conference" matinee game, I believe that's providing us with excellent value. The T-Wolves don't play defense. They've given up 118 or more points in eight of their last nine games. (The only exception was a time when they played the second of b2b games against the same team.) The OVER is 38-19 the past 57 times that Minnesota faced a team from the Eastern Conference, including an 18-3 OVER mark against teams from the Southeast. During that span, the Hawks have seen the OVER go 15-5 against Northeast opponents and 36-19-1 against Western Conf. teams overall. Expect those stats to improve here. 


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Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
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