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Pick Details

CHC
at
MIL
(957) Chi. Cubs vs. Milwaukee (958) 7:40 PM | Tue, Apr 13 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Win (1152)
Pick
CHC (128) @ pinnacle

My 9* Situational Stunner is on the Chi Cubs at 7:40 ET.

The Cubs and Brewers (NL Central rivals) meet again in Milwaukee on Tuesday, after the Brewers won 6-3 last night in the first of this three-game series. The Cubs have now lost FIVE of their last six, scoring three or less runs in five of those six. In contrast, the Brewers have won five of their last six games, having scored 24 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in FIVE of their last six games.

The pitching matchup features the teams' respective aces, Chicago's Kyle Hendricks and Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff. Hendricks has yet to win in his previous two starts of 2021 (he's 0-1 and the team 0-2), as has Woodruff. However, the Brewers are 2-0 in Woodruff's starts with him posting a 2.45 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and a 13-2 KW ratio. These two squared off against each other on April 7 in Wrigley, with BOTH pitching well. Hendricks threw six scoreless innings (6-1 KW ratio), while Woodruff pitched seven scoreless innings, allowing one hit with an 8-0KW ratio.

At the moment, the Cubs are struggling (can't find their offense) while the Brewers are playing well. However, in this quick "re-hook," I'll side with Hendricks, who in 24 career starts (most vs any opponent) owns a 2.72 ERA and 1.04 WHIP vs Milwaukee. The Cubs will break out of their batting slump sometime and I believe Hendricks won't need too much here to earn the "W."

Good luck...Larry

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