|NYI (115) @ Draftkings|
Taking the Islanders for 6* here...
It seems like teams have a bit of a hangover game after winning an outdoor game (no stats -- anecdotal), so that helps us but isn't the main reason for this bet.
The Bruins were near the top of the league in expected goals recently but dropped far down in their last 10 games at 5 on 5. They're currently at 18th in the league while the Islanders are in 5th in expected goals %.
Not only that, but the Islanders beat the Bruins twice already and outplayed them significantly both games.
We're getting a home team priced as an underdog when they should be the favorite.