|1.5 TB (-152) @ Draftkings|
The set-up: Both teams had difficulties in their League Championship Series victories and because of the way it played out for each team, I do indeed feel that Game 1 sets up nicely for Tyler Glasnow and the Rays. Tampa crushed all competition in the regular season to earn the AL title, while LA did the same in the Senior Circuit. These teams are very evenly matched, as they possess fantastic starting pitching and top notch bullpens. Their line-ups are also deep and talented. I do think that the Dodgers are a "fan favorite" though and this larger inflated line takes that into account.
The pick: But as I mentioned above, situationally I think it sets up well for the Rays. Tampa went up 3-0 on the Astros and then lost three straight, before finally getting its act together and calmly coming away with the Game 7 victory. It was different for the Dodgers though, who went down 3-1 and then had to win three straight. After that emotional come back and with a few extra days off, I believe that the Dodgers come out flat in Game 1. Outright victory?! Of course, but I'm going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance, as this contest could easily see extra frames.
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the RAYS on the RUN-LINE.