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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 2 2021 at 2:10 PM ET
Kansas City
at
Minnesota
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1160) - Final Score KC 4 at MIN 13
Pick
1.5 KC (-116) @ pinnacle

#921 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Run Line: Kansas City Royals +1.5 runs (-120) over Minnesota Twins, Sunday at 2:10 PM ET - The Royals have been a pleasant surprise early this season while the Twins have been a big disappointment thus far.  Kansas City is 16-9 while Minnesota is 9-16 and the Twins are over-priced in this spot.  We like the added insurance of having the +1.5 runs at a very low price here in the event Minnesota does manage to get a tight one-run win here but this spot definitely favors the Royals.  The last two times Brad Keller faced the Twins he has allowed a total of just 2 earned runs on only 8 hits in 14 innings of work.  The last two times Jose Berrios faced the Royals he allowed 4 earned runs in each outing plus walked 4 in each start and he did not make it out of the 6th inning in either start.  Berrios has not been overly impressive early this season and allowed 4 earned runs in his most recent home start and did not even make it out of the 5th inning in that one.  Keller, on the other hand, has gotten back on track after a tough beginning to the season.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 2 of his last 3 starts and he has a lot of confidence about pitching here.  Those 2 most recent strong starts against the Twins were both road starts for him at Minnesota.  The Twins enter this game having struggled at the plate in so many of their games this season.  Minnesota has been held to 3 or less runs in 11 of the last 16 games!  Though these two bullpens rate nearly equal in most categories so far this season, the one in which they do not is wins and losses.  Royals relievers are 6-1 and Twins relievers are 1-8.  Also, the Royals have saves in 9 of 12 opportunities while Twins have saves in only 4 of 9 opportunities.  Overall, the Royals enter this game on a 7-2 run and one of those losses was by a single run.  Minnesota has lost 14 of 18 games and is over-priced here considering all of the above.  KC has just 1 loss by more than a single run margin in the last 9 games.  Bet the Kansas City Royals +1.5 runs on the run line.

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