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Pick Details

NYY
at
TB
(915) NY Yankees vs. Tampa Bay (916) 1:10 PM | Sat, Apr 10 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1026)
Pick
NYY (-114) @ pinnacle

 My 9* Rivalry Rout is on the NY Yankees at 1:10 ET.

It's not Red Sox/ Yankees but the Rays/Yankees rivalry is gaining momentum quickly. Tampa Bay won the AL East by SEVEN games over New York in 2020 and then eliminated the Yankees in the ALDS by edging the Yankees 2-1 in the deciding Game 5 of the ALDS. Both teams enter Saturday's contest 3-4, after the Rays pounded the Yankees 10-5 10-5 in Tampa Bay's 2021 home opener on Friday afternoon. Tropicana Field's domed stadium had 9,021 fans in attendance for the unveiling of the two banners representing the clinching of the AL East Division and the AL pennant.

Getting the ball for the middle contest of this three-game series will be New York's Domingo German (0-1, 9.00) and Tampa Bay's Chris Archer (0-1, 13.50), German was 18-4 for the Yankees when he was placed on administrative leave by MLB pending an investigation of suspected domestic violence on September 19, 2019. It was confirmed on Sep 25 that he would not be eligible to participate in any baseball action for the remainder of 2019, including the postseason, German made just ONE start in 2020. German will make just his SECOND start since Aug. 20, 2019 on Saturday, after being roughed for four runs (three earned) in two innings of relief last Saturday.

Chris Archer was considered one of the stars of Tampa Bay's rotation from 2013 through 2018 but he was clearly overrated (see his stats during that time, if you don't believe me). He was traded to Pitts during the 2018 season and went 3-3 with a 4.30 ERA. he then imploded in 2019, going 3-9 with a 5.19 ERA and 1,41 WHIP in s 23 starts (Pirates were 8-15), Archer missed all of 202 with a health issue but signed a one-year, $6.5 million contract with the Tampa Bay Rays on Feb 2, 20201. Archer lasted just TWO innings in his 2021 debut at Miami on April 4), allowing four runs (three earned).

My belief is that Archer is 'done,' so I'll back the Yankees to bounce back from Friday's shellacking. I'm giving German the benefit of the doubt, remembering his 18-4 season in 2019, when he had a MLB-best .818 winning percentage (note: Yanks won BOTH of his 2019 starts vs Tampa Bay).

Good luck...Larry

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