Scott Rickenbach is 19-8-0 (70.4%) with premium picks over the last 7 days.

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Pick Details

CHC
at
MIL
(957) Chi. Cubs vs. Milwaukee (958) 7:40 PM | Tue, Apr 13 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1330)
Pick
MIL (-133) @ pinnacle
This is a high price to pay against Kyle Hendricks, but I agree with it. In Hendricks' last 10 games as a road underdog, he's just 3-7 with his team giving up 27 runs in the last 4 of those (and 0-3 L3 as a road dog when the opponent is -130 or higher). He's also been worse on the road in his career than at home (3.73 ERA to 2.55). He's 0-1 in his last 3 years at Miller Park but has had 4 starts in those games, even though his ERA has been good. Milwaukee is 5-2 L7 at home against the Cubs and 7-3 overall L10 against them. This is a terrible matchup for the Cubs' offense, as they lead the MLB in K rate against a starter in Woodruff that's averaging 10.73 K's per 9 innings.

 Woodruff is 0-1 against the Cubs in his career but has given up just 5 runs in 4 starts (23 1/3 IP) in his last 2 years against them. Milwaukee's offense has heated up L3 games, scoring 24 runs in that span, and they just seem to be moving in a different direction than the Cubs, who are hitting at a historically low pace right now.

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