Pick Details


Pick |
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CAL (-147) @ pinnacle |
6 of 6 (100%) Experts with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 9* play on the Calgary Flames (Straight-up).
Cappers Analysis:
Ben Burns: WESTERN CONF. ESPN KNUCKLE-PUCK
The Oilers have looked pretty unstoppable the past few games. This is still "The Battle of Alberta" though and the Flames aren't going to go down without a fight, on home ice. They're 46-29 (+10.3) the past 75 times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game. While the Oilers allow 3.1 gpg on the road, the Flames allow 2.4 here at home. In fact, the Flames have outshot visiting teams by a dominating 36 to 26.6 average margin here this season. They've still won seven of the past 11 home meetings with the Oilers.
Matt Fargo: Fargo's 10* NHL Thursday Breakaway 14-9
Calgary came into this series as the significant favorite and now finds itself down 3-1 but it does have the edge of two more home games should the series go the distance. The Flames are 29-11-6-1 at home including a win in the series opener 9-6 before the string of three straight losses and the defense needs a big push. They have allowed an average of five gpg through the first four games and while the offense gets the most pub, this defense allowed 2.51 gpg during the regular season which was third fewest in the NHL and that drops to 2.39 gpg at home, which was also third in the league. Goalie Jacob Markstrom has been a disappointment and his season 2.22 GAA will be more on display tonight. The Flames are 7-3 in their last 10 games after allowing five goals or more in their previous game. Edmonton is showing how dangerous it can be when the offense is clicking but it has accomplished this with limited shots as the Oilers have attempted an average of 33.8 shots per game which is a healthy amount on average but not many for the amount of goals they have scored. Edmonton comes in with a 24-17-5-0 record on the road and the Game Two victory is the only road win in the eight meetings this season. The Oilers have stepped up the penalty kill as they have allowed only two goals in 17 opportunities and this is another ongoing issue with the Flames going back to the Dallas series. The Oilers are 7-15 in their last 22 games as an underdog. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing three goals or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in four straight games. This situation is 25-3 (89.3 percent) since 1996.
Scott Rickenbach: 100% PERFECT! NHL Rivalry Rout Blowout!
The Flames are too strong to lose this series on home ice in my opinion. This is an elimination game for Calgary and the recent series between these fierce Alberta rivals has been dominated by home ice wins. Look for the Flames to come up big here on home ice. The most recent home game for the Flames versus the Oilers was a Game 2 loss and that was a rare home ice loss in the battles between these provincial foes. With their backs against the wall and the extra energy and motivation that will bring to this match-up, look for the hosts to get it done and I will lay the price here.
Al McMordie: BIG AL's NHL GAME OF THE WEEK
The Flames almost pulled off a come-from-behind victory on Tuesday night in Edmonton, after trailing 3-0, as they tied the game mid-way through the third period. But ultimately, Calgary fell short and now it finds itself in a must-win situation, down 3-1 back at home. Calgary limited Edmonton to just 25 shots the entire game on Tuesday, but goalie Jacob Markstrom will have to play better tonight. Certainly, he's capable, and he's been terrific here at the Saddledome. Markstrom had a 22-8-7 record and 2.17 GAA average in Calgary this season, so I look for him to bounce back strong in Game 5. The Flames' offense will also need to set the tone with early offense, as it did in Game 1. In that game, Calgary scored three times in its first 10 shots and knocked Mike Smith out of that game before going on to a huge 9-6 victory. The Flames are 46-29 (+10 games on the moneyline) in their last 75 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game.
Sean Murphy: 83-46 RUN! 10* NHL TOP WEST 2ND RD SIDE!
The Flames ran into a buzz-saw in Edmonton, dropping both games to fall behind 3-1 in this series. In fact, the Oilers have won three games in a row since losing the series-opener by a 9-6 score. As I've noted previously, long winning streaks just aren't commonplace in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. We've seen it time and time again. Here, I look for the Flames to answer back on home ice, where they're 29-18 and outscore opponents by 1.3 goals on average this season. We'll also note that the Oilers are a woeful 2-12 the last 14 times they've played on the road after consecutive home wins by 2+ goals, as is the case here, outscored by 1.3 goals on average along the way.
Lana Lane: 10* NHL THURSDAY LATE NIGHT PAYOUT
Flames in a very winnable situation, Darryl Sutter has won a playoff series before with the Kings, coming back from a 3-1 hole. It starts with one game and what better than a game returning home. The last game was more Flames hockey 2022, where if you take out the fluke goals on each side, would of been a 2-2 game late. Flames did a good job limiting McDavid to only two points and was largely a non factor throughout the game.
Head coach Darryl Sutter actually liked what he saw in the Tuesday night loss, and will look to build on that gameplan tonight. The home side is 13-3 and the fav is 20-8 in the recent history of this bitter rivalry.
The Battle of ALberta often comes in streaks and after three straight wins by the Oilers, we are looking for a return shot with the Flames now home to re-group in front of their home fans.
Best of luck!
at covers experts
Winning Starts Here