|Under 220.5 (-102) @ pinnacle|
ASA top play on 10* UNDER 220.5 Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks, 9 PM ET Game 4 - We like UNDER again in Game 4 and expect a lower scoring game when these two teams take the floor Wednesday night. We’ve seen a steady decline the scoring in the three games thus far as they scored 223 and 226 total points in the first two games then 220 in Game 3. Most importantly we’ve seen a decline in field goal attempts and a slower pace. In Game 1 these two attempted 176 combined shots, in Game 2 it was 181 then in Game 3 it was the lowest number yet with 173 field goal attempts. As this series goes on we expect the pressure to grow and less shots to go in. Both teams shot 48% in Game 3 but that percentage isn’t sustainable given both teams defenses. Both teams have been outstanding defensively in the playoffs allowing just 1.090-points per possession (Suns) and 1.071PPP (Bucks). Those numbers are drastically better than the season PPP they allowed during the regular season. Suns are 4-1 Under their last five coming off a loss, while the Bucks are 7-3-1 Under their last eleven home games. With more money and tickets coming in on the Over the line has not fluctuated and even ticked down a little. That’s an indication to bet UNDER!
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