Pick Details

CIN
at
WAS
(463) Cincinnati vs. Washington (464) 1:00 PM | Sun, Nov 22 2020
Sport: NFL | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Loss (-981) - Final Total 29
Pick
Over 46.5 (-109) @ Betamerica

My 9* "Featured" Sunday Total is on Cin/Was Over at 1:00 ET.

The top two picks in the 2020 NFL Draft will face off for the first time Sunday when QB Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals visit the Washington Football Team and defensive end Chase Young in Landover, Md. Burrow has earned praise from across the league for his poise, accuracy and the speed with which he's adapted to the pro game, while Young has NOT had a big impact with 21 tackles and 3.5 sacks in eight games, all starts. Cincinnati checks in at 2-6-1 and has yet to win on the road (0-4-1) in 2020, while Washington is 2-7 but actually remains in contention in the NFC Least,' where the 3-5-1 Eagles are in first place and the 3-7 Giants are second place.

The Cincy OL has hampered both Burrow (he's been sacked 32 times) and the team's running game (105.4 YPG on 4.0 YPC) but Burrow has completed 65.4% for 2,485 yards with 12 TDs and five INTs. Mixon is the team's best RB (428 yards on just 3.6 YPC) but he remains out (last played Oct 18) and Beranrd's value is as a receiver (28 catches with two TDs). WRs Boyd (60 catches / 3 TDs) and Higgins (40 catches / 4 TDs) have both been solid but A.J. Green continues to underperform (31 catches on the season), with just TWO receptions for 19 yards in the last two games. Burrow will look (NEED) to bounce back, after Cincy's 'ugly' 36-10 road loss at undefeated Pittsburgh last week. He passed for just 213 yards and the Bengals were 0-for-13 on third down.!

In stark contrast, while Washington lost 30-27 at Detroit in Week 10, QB Alex Smiths continued one of the season's better 'feel good' stories. It's taken nearly two years for him to return to the starting lineup but took him only two games to inject himself into the conversation over whether he can be Washington's future quarterback. He's thrown for a combined 715 yards in Washington's last two losses, nearly leading comebacks from large deficits each time. Smith has returned to a place few thought he would reach again. In Sunday's 30-27 loss to the Detroit Lions, Smith's first start since breaking the fibula and tibia in his right leg on Nov 18, 2018, he completed a career-high 38 passes for 390 yards. Washington tied the game after trailing by 21 points in the second half only to lose on a last-second field goal. Washington's running game (91.9 YPG on 3.8 YPC) is even worse than Cincy's, although Gibson did have two rushing TDs against Detroit, giving him seven on the season (436 yards on 4.2 YPC). Fellow RB McKissic is used more as a receiver, as he has 41 catches. WR McLaurin (57 catches / 13.8 YPC / 3 TDs) is Washington's best receiver, although TE Thomas (28 / 3 TDs) has been effective at times.

The Bengals are just 2-6-1 but they own a 6-3 ATS record. They have been non-competitive at Baltimore and Pittsburgh but 2-4-1 (6-1 ATS) in their other seven games. NONE of those four losses have come by more than FIVE points and there was that tie at Philly. Washington still has some motivation, as a win here and at Dallas on Thanksgiving, would move them to 4-7. The Eagles are at 6-3 Cleveland this week and they play Seattle (7-3), Green Bay (7-2) and New Orleans (7-3) their next three! Neither Burrow nor Smith can rely on any help from their respective running games, so expect both to have big games. Expect Burrow to bounce-back from his POOR effort at Pittsburgh and Smith faces a Cincy D which allows 30.4 PPG on the road. Go O-V-E-R!

Good luck...Larry

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