|11.5 WKU (-106) @ pinnacle|
This is a massive game for a talented and capable WKU team. They rank in the top 30 nationally in defensive rebounding rate, a key stat when facing a Houston team that relentlessly crashes the boards (#1 offensive rebounding rate). WKU should have the full roster for tonight, they've had 12 days off (not from covid quarantine crap) so ton of time to prepare for this one. With a road win at Alabama under their belt, grabbing a road win at Houston could vault them into the At Large big discussion. Granted all of the Houston's losses have been on the road, but WKU is a more dangerous team than arguably all of the teams Houston has lost to (Wichita, ECU, Tulsa). Wichita also was able to play Houston within 7 on the road.
Houston blows away many teams, but WKU has some high level talent, Bassey should be the best big man Houston's seen this year, and Houston has shown they are beatable. I just would not be surprised if WKU pulls this upset, so grabbing 11.5 feels real solid to me