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Pick Details

(957) San Francisco vs. Miami (958) 6:10 PM | Sat, Apr 17 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 9.0 Evaluation: Win (900)
MIA (-128) @ pinnacle

My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Mia Marlins at 6:10 ET.

The Giants' three World Series titles (2010, 2012 and 2014) seem like they came 20 years ago, although San Francisco just barely missed the postseason last year with a 29-31 record. The Miami Marlins entered last year's COVID-shortened season having posted the NL's worst record in both 2019 (57-105) and 2018 (63-98). The Marlins suffered a significant COVID break after the team's opening series and did not play from July 27 through Aug 4. However, the Marlins not only made up all of its missed games but at 31-29 (just two games better than San Francisco), made the expanded playoffs.

The Giants opened the 2021 season 6-3 but last night's 4-1 loss in Miami drops them to 8-5. Not bad for a team that ranks 28th in spring (3.23 RPG) and 28th in team batting (.203). In contrast, the Marlins got off to a 1-6 start but have since won FIVE of their last six games, including last night's win. Saturday's starters are the Giants' Aaron Sanchez (0-1, 2.70 ERA) and the Marlins' Sandy Alcantara (0-1, 2.45 ERA). Both have pitched well so far but have gotten little support.

Some remember Sanchez from the 2016 season when went 15-2 for Toronto while winning the American League ERA title (3.00). However, from 2016-19 he was just 10-23, as injuries plagued him. An MRI revealed a torn capsule in his right shoulder in August of 2019 and he missed the rest of the 2019 season and the entire 2020 season. Sanchez agreed to a one-year, $4 million contract with the San Francisco Giants in February of 2021. He's pitched five innings in each of his 2021 starts (three ERs allows) but the Giants have lost 3-0 and 3-1.

Miami's Alcantara has felt the pain of non-support in 2021, as well. He's got a 2.45 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and has held opponents to a .159 BAA in three 2021 starts. However, the Marlins scored just TWO runs in his first two starts combined (both team losses) and then gave him just ONE run vs Atlanta (6.1 IP / 3 ERs), before rallying after he left to win 5-3 in 10 innings. Alcantara is considered Miami's ace and is OVERDUE for some support. He shouldn't need much as he owns a 1.32 ERA in three career appearances against the Giants, including two starts. Both starts came in 2019, with him allowing one ER in 13 innings (0.69 ERA). Remember, he's facing a 'tooth-less' San Francisco offense (see above).

Good luck...Larry


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