|Over 2.5 (-141) @ pinnacle|
10* Over Arlovski/Sherman (11:15 ET): Andre Arlovski, the former UFC Heavyweight Champion, is about to step inside the Octagon for a 35th time. That’s the most ever for a heavyweight. He’s 19-14-1 for the promotion and 30-20 all-time. He will face Chase Sherman Saturday. Sherman is 15-6 in his MMA career, including 3-5 for the UFC. This fight is scheduled for three rounds and I believe is likely to head to the cards. Take the Over 2.5 rounds.
Arlovski was NOT the originally scheduled opponent for Sherman here. He stepped in as a late replacement when Parker Porter was forced to withdraw (undisclosed reasons) earlier this month. Arlovski is coming off a second round loss to Tom Aspinall in February when he was choked out. But prior to that, he’d won three of four fights, all three wins coming via decision. His game plan here will likely be slow-paced striking to hopefully earn another judge’s decision.
While Sherman does not have the best UFC record, he does come into this fight riding a four-fight win streak. All four wins have come via TKO. Three of those wins occurred outside the UFC, but he made a successful return to the promotion last May when he defeated Isaac Villanueva in the second round. The vast majority of Sherman’s fights have not gone to the cards, but this is a tricky matchup against a veteran he was not originally preparing to fight. 10* Over Arlovski/Sherman