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Pick Details

SEA
at
BOS
(911) Seattle vs. Boston (912) 7:10 PM | Thu, Apr 22 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 7.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1155)
Pick
BOS (-165) @ bet365

7* Boston (7:10 ET): These teams have pretty similar records (Red Sox are 12-7, Mariners are 11-7), but the respective run differentials paint a much different picture as Boston is an AL-best +27 while Seattle has actually been outscored (-3) on the season. The Red Sox did have a two-game win streak snapped by Toronto here at Fenway Wednesday while Seattle had the day off. But in a battle of unbeaten starters, I’m siding with the home team. 

Surprisingly, the Red Sox are just 6-6 at Fenway thus far. It’s a 6-1 road record that’s more responsible for them being tied with Oakland for the best overall record in the American League. They are 3-0 in Nick Pivetta starts and will have him on the bump again tonight. Pivetta’s WHIP (1.636) is a little higher than what you want to see and he’s gotten plenty of run support thus far. But Seattle has never faced him and this is a lineup that’s been shutout twice in its last four games. They had just one hit in Tuesday’s 1-0 loss to the Dodgers. 

The Mariners’ starter for this series opener will be Justin Dunn. There are some similarities to Pivetta here as Dunn has also had some control issues and has never faced tonight’s opponents. Dunn also has a 2-0 TSR. He looked good his last time out, but that was against Baltimore. It’s also difficult to look past the EIGHT walks he issued in his first start of the season. Since opening 0-3, the Red Sox are 12-4 and have lost B2B games only one time. The Mariners are just 17-40 in their L57 games at Fenway. 7* Boston

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