|103 (True) - Nashville -1 @ pinnacle|
Taking the Predators -1 for 6* here...
My first thought when looking at this line was "Nashville shouldn't be favored by this much on the road." However, after diving deeper into the stats, I think they're worth a bet.
Nashville has been extremely unlucky in their past 10 games at 5 on 5, only scoring 36% of goals when generating an expected 50% of goals. That's a huge gap that should decrease very soon.
They've also generated 53.5% of high danger scoring chances at 5 on 5, good for 11th in the league.
The Predators just ripped apart the Blue Jackets last game and actually outplayed them in the first game (loss) as well. Nashville had a ridiculously high 74% of the expected goals in a 4-2 win.
That momentum should carry over to a lower quality team in the Red Wings and decrease the huge gap between actual and expected goals.