6 of 8 (75%) Experts with a pick against the spread are aligned. 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils (Spread).

Capper Analysis:

AAA Sports: FINAL 4 SUPER SPECIAL: 4-0 (100%) ELITE 8

UNC only hit 6 of 22 3-pointers against Saint Peter's, and while that was enough to move past the No. 15 seed, that's just not going to get it done against Coach K and Duke in the Final 4. To get to this point of the tournament, you have to be playing well at both ends of the court. And that's the case here, as move UNC and Duke enter on top form. Duke is the No. 2 seed here and it plays with revenge after its 94-81 home loss to UNC as an 11-point favorite in Coach K's final regular season home game. It was a crushing defeat, but now Duke has a golden opportunity to avenge that setback. Duke does everything just as well as UNC, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for the experience of Coach K in this spot to prove to be the difference in this revenge scenario; the play is Duke!

Larry Ness: Larry's 10* ONE & ONLY Game of the Year

Everyone knows the set-up by now. The UNC-Duke rivalry is over 100 years old but the schools have never gone head-to-head in the NCAA tournament until now. It comes in Mike Krzyzewski's final season, While Coach K is in his 13th Final Four (most of any coach in NCAA history) his "opposite number" will be UNC's Hubert Davis. He is the first first-year head coach to make the Final Four since Bill Guthridge, who also did so with UNC after taking over for Dean Smith in 1998. You can't make this stuff up!

28-9 North Carolina is the lowest seed at No. 8 but the Tar Heels have already spoiled Coach K's homecourt goodbye (94-81 back on Mar 5) in a game Hubert Davis believes flipped the switch for what he felt was an underachieving team up to that point. When Carolina takes the court Saturday in New Orleans, the Tar heels will take a 10-1 run (9-2 ATS) into the contest. 32-6 Duke opened the season No. 9 in the AP's preseason poll and for most of the season, were the lone ACC team ranked in the top-25 (Blue Devils finished 9th in the AP's final regular season poll). North Carolina is 4-0 ATS in the tournament so far, while after beating CS-Fullerton by 17 points (as an 18 1/2-point favorite), Duke covered in its wins over Michigan St, Texas Tech and Arkansas,

North Carolina has an excellent frontcourt duo in the 6-10 Bacot (16.5 & 12.8) and 6-9 Oklahoma transfer Manek (15.2 & 5.9). It was a trio, but 6-11 Marquette transfer Garcia (9.0 & 5.5) left the team in mid-January and has not returned. Sophomore guard Love (15.7-3.4-3.7) teams with freshman Davis (13.4-4.0-3.7) in the backcourt, with Black (4.9 & 4.3) starting in Garcia's place. Manek has been great in the tourney by averaging 21.5 & 8.0 and Bacot his usual self (16.5 PPG but also an impressive 15.8 RPG!). Love scored just FIVE points vs Baylor but has averaged 22.3 PPG in the other three. Davis stepped up with 30 points vs Baylor and is averaging 13.8 & 6.0 in the tourney.

Duke has had three freshmen make major contributions. The 6-10 Paolo Banchero (17.1 & 7.7), guard Keels (11.3) and the 6-6 Griffin (10.5 & 3.9). That trio has started for most of the season along with junior SF Moore (13.5-5.2-44) and 7-0 sophomore center Williams (11.3 & 7.5). Guard Roach (8.6) has mostly come off the bench. In the tourney, Bacot (18.5 & 7.0), Williams (14.5 & 8.8) and Moore (13.5-3.5-3.5) have all reached double digits in all four games. Griffin has averaged 11.5 & 4.8 plus Roach (12.3 & 3.8 APG) has replaced Keels in the starting lineup, scoring in double digits in three of the four (nine points in the other one). Keels' minutes have been reduced and he's averaging a modest 6.8 PPG in the tourney.

Neither school has much depth but both are playing great. Kudos to the job that Davis has done but Coach K's ]magical' last season run WON'T run here. When all is said and done, Duke's loss to North Carolina in Coach K's final regular season game may have been "just what the doctor ordered" for the Blue Devils. See you Monday in the championship game.

Lee Sterling: CBB Final 4 Heavy Hitter Play

Everything except for rebounding and free throw shooting Duke does better than North Carolina. Coach K will outcoach Hubert Davis. The last game was a fluke. duke big as they advance easy over NC.

Marc Lawrence: Marc’s 18-0 ATS Final Four 10* Kill Play!

Edges - Blue Devils: 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in Final Four games since 1991, including 4-0 ATS versus foes coming off a double-digit win … Tar Heels: .750 or greater teams in the Final Four coming off a win of 6 or more points against a double-digit seed are 0-5 ATS since 1991; and 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in the postseason versus Duke when the Blue Devils are seeking revenge from a same season loss in their last meeting … We seal the deal with this awesome angle from our well-oiled machine as it notes that  Final Four favorites of fewer than 7 points are 5-0 SUATS versus No. 7 or worse deeds, and also 4-0 SUATS when facing foes coming off a win of 17-plus points … With the Blue Devils looking to avenge a 13-point loss to the Tar Heels in their final game at Cameron Arena under Mike Krzyzewski.

Tim Michael: CBB GAME OF THE WEEK! > > 5-1 CBB RUN!

I like Duke to cover the spread in this game against UNC on Saturday. Duke has looked really good in their games lately and I think they have been getting better and better as the tournament goes on. They have already knocked off 2 good teams in their 2 most recent games, winning against Arkansas and Texas Tech. Both were teams that looked really good on defense going into their games against Duke and they both came out losing in the end as Duke turned it up a notch in the final minutes of both games. They really had their foot down on Arkansas for that entire game and they went into the half with a 12 point lead, completely dominating that game from start to finish. UNC has also looked really good in their games lately, knocking off some big teams too like Baylor and UCLA. They took out Saint Peter's in their most recent game and that was a game that they dominated from the start, taking a 20 point lead into the half and winning by 20 points in the end. UNC has looked good in these games but they also haven't had the toughest path to this game either. Baylor was their toughest challenge while UCLA was already struggling coming into the tournament and they even caught a huge break in the Elite 8 with Saint Peter's, even though Saint Peter's was playing very well they were still a 15th seed and made it very easy on UNC to win that previous game. There has been a lot of emotions with this Duke team this year since it is the last season for Coach K and the team would like to send him into retirement with 1 more national title under his belt. I think the Duke players are going to be very motivated in this game with the championship game within reach now, and they already let UNC ruin the final home game for Coach K ever since they had a 10+ point lead in that game and managed to blow it, losing by 13 points on their home court to their own rival. I think they are still going to be fuming from that game and I expect them to give their best performance of the tournament here to boost their team into the finals. I think Duke is the better team here and I think they have the motivation and momentum to dominate in this game.

Will Rogers: UNC/DUKE: FINAL FOUR BEST OF THE BEST

UNC is 4-0 ATS in the tournament and going back to the last couple weeks of the regular season, they are on a 10-1 SU run in their previous 11 games, also going 9-2 against the spread. Duke has covered its last three games after a last second layup by Cal State Fullerton handed the Blue Devils a 1.5 point ATS loss in Round 1. 

Both teams were eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The only other loss for Duke, over their last 15 games, came to North Carolina, in Coach K’s home finale. The final score of that game was 94-81. That was after Duke won the first meeting, 87-67, in Chapel Hill. To say the Blue Devils will be highly motivated to avenge that last loss UNC is putting it mildly.

Duke was clearly the best team in the ACC this year. North Carolina has had a nice run, but it is worth mentioning that they were an 8-seed coming into the NCAA Tournament. Obviously, they are better than how they were seeded, but being an 8-seed shows they are far from the most consistent team.

The Blue Devils are just the better team here. North Carolina could have lost to either Baylor or UCLA, before they got lucky and faced a 15-seed in the Elite 8. I’ve never sensed Duke being in any danger in their tourney run.

While most teams have struggled to find their shot in the NCAA Tournament, Duke hasn’t. The Blue Devils have made over 50% of their field goal attempts and scored at least 78 points in every game.

Best of luck!