|NYY (-104) @ pinnacle|
This is an 8* CUSTOMER APPRECIATION PLAY on the Yankees.
The Rays have the Yankees number. They had it last year, and so far they've won three of four in the season series this year as well.
That includes an 8-2 win here yesterday. I think Jordan Montgomery of the Yanks and Tyler Glasnow of the Rays are essentially a "wash." Glasnow has superb numbers, and they're slightly better than Montgomery's, but for all intents and purposes, these two starters are very evenly matched.
New York though is 7-2 in its last nine home games in trying to revenge a five runs or greater loss to an opponent.
The Rays on the other hand are just 2-6 in their last eight following a road win over an opponent of five or more runs.
"The value" in this series the last two years has been on the scrappy underdog side with a chip on its shoulder. Well guess what? The undervalued underdog in this series isn't the Rays anymore, it's the desperate Yankees, looking to break a three-game slide and exact a little revenge.
All things considered, I think we're getting a great price here. The play is the YANKS.
Good luck, NP