|Arm (-124) @ pinnacle|
10* Arminia Bielefeld (2:30 ET): While it may seem strange to select a match between two bottom of the table sides as our biggest Bundesliga release of the month, this one has major implications for Bielefeld as they try to remain in the German top flight next year. Having gone unbeaten in their last three, last season’s Bundesliga 2 champs are now one point clear of the relegation playoff and four clear of automatic relegation. The cause has certainly been helped by the fact that Hertha Berlin, the team directly below them, has been on pause due to COVID-19. Three points here would be HUGE and Bielefeld couldn’t have asked for a more ideal opponent Tuesday.
Schalke has just 15 points to play for this season and they are 14 points back of safety. So unless they win out and the three teams above them all lose out, their relegation fate is all but sealed. Considering this side has just TWO wins this entire Bundesliga campaign, the idea of winning out seems downright laughable. There was a rare 1-0 win (over Augsburg) two weeks ago, but coming off that I couldn’t wait to fade Schalke on Saturday. Sure enough, they were beaten badly in a 4-0 defeat.
As was the case Saturday, this price is shockingly cheap to go against the last place team in the table, on the road no less. Schalke’s YTD goal differential now sits at an abhorrent -57, more than twice as bad as the next worst team (Koln is -26). They have 10 fewer points than 17th place Koln. Relegation is inevitable. That’s not the case though for Bielefeld, who won the reverse fixture 1-0 back in December. Making matters even worse for Schalke is that they’ll be without a number of first team regulars here. The team they field Tuesday will be about as bad as it gets in this league. 10* Arminia Bielefeld.