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Pick Details

ARI
at
COL
(905) Arizona vs. Colorado (906) 3:10 PM | Thu, Apr 08 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000)
Pick
COL (-115) @ bet365

My 10* Division Dominator (NL West) is on the Col Rockies at 3:10 ET.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies sure got no favors from the scheduling 'gods,' who sent the D'backs to San Diego to open against the Padres, while the Rockies opened with a four-game home series against the defending world champion Dodgers. Both teams lost THREE of their four respective games then had Monday off, before opening a three-game series at Coors Field on Tuesday. The D'backs took Tuesday's game 10-8 in 13 innings, before the Rockies won 8-0 on Wednesday.

Taking the mound for Thursday's rubber game of this three-game series will be Arizona's Merrill Kelly (0-1, 6.75 ERA) and Colorado's Jon Gray (0-0, 1.80 ERA). Kelly (32 years old) is in his third major-league season after a lengthy stint in South Korean baseball. He made his major-league debut in 2019, finishing 13-14 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 32 starts as a rookie for the Diamondbacks. He was limited to five starts in 2020, going 3-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. He struggled in his 2021 season debut, lasting just four innings (made 94 pitches!) while giving up three runs on five hits and three walks.

Jon Gray has had an up-and-down career with the Rockies (45-37 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.34 WHIP entering 2021), showing signs of being an ace and at other times searching for consistency. However, Gray pitched very well in his first start Saturday against the Dodgers. He left after facing one batter in the sixth, having shut out the defending champs through five innings, but full-body cramps forced him out of a game (Colorado was leading 2-0 at the time).

Neither pitcher has had any success against the team they are facing in this one but note that while both Arizona and Colorado are 2-4, the D'backs have been outscored 36-22 (-14), the Rockies have scored 37 runs while allowing 36 (+1). Arizona was just 9-21 on the road in 2020, averaging a measly 3.8 RPG. The D-backs have opened 2-4 on the road in 2021 and are averaging 3.7 RPG, despite scoring 10 runs on Tuesday (other five games have seen them average 2.4 RPG). Colorado was not dominant at Coors Field last season, going just 12-18 but the Rockies did average 5.1 RPG in their home park. Colorado has played all six of its games this season at Coors, averaging 6.2 RPG with 11 HRs. Colorado gets the "W" and picks up the series win.

Good luck...Larry

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