|OTT (132) @ pinnacle|
Taking the Senators for 6* here...
This line shouldn't be as high as it is. The Flames just played last night against the Leafs and came away from their 2 game set with Toronto with 3 points. That is a little misleading because they were outplayed significantly in both games at 5 on 5, somehow David Rittich was able to keep them in the games though.
The Senators just beat the Canadiens twice in a row, so that counts for something. Ottawa holds a better expected goals number than the Flames at 5 on 5 in their last 10 games, 16th in the league compared to 19th for the Flames.
Underdogs on 3+ game homestands after winning the first two are winning at 55% in the last 90 bets for a 21% ROI. Senators are worth a bet in this one.