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Pick Details

BOS
at
MIN
(963) Boston vs. Minnesota (964) 1:10 PM | Thu, Apr 15 2021
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Win (800)
Pick
MIN (-153) @ caesars

8* Minnesota (1:10 ET): Yesterday’s doubleheader saw Boston win twice (3-2 and 7-1) and now they go for a four-game sweep at Target Field where the Twins are uncharacteristically struggling. Minnesota is 70-50 in all home games the L3 seasons (that includes the three losses in this series) and I just can’t see them dropping four in a row to the same team, even with the Red Sox being as hot as they are right now. You don’t see home teams get swept in four-game series all that often, at least not GOOD teams, and I’ll bet against it happening here. 

The Red Sox season seemingly got off to an ominous start as they were swept in three games by the lowly Orioles at Fenway Park. But since then, they’ve won nine straight! While the offense has been hot, they caught a bit of a break in the nightcap Wednesday when Twins starter Jose Berrios uncharacteristically had no control. Michael Pineda, who starts Thursday for the Twins, has a 1.64 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in two starts so far and I like him to get the job done. 

Minnesota hitters are a horrible 1 for 24 with RISP in this series, which tells me that they SHOULD have scored a lot more runs. Today feels like a spot where they should breakthrough as they face Garrett Richards, who had an ugly first outing (allowed six runs in two innings), then gave up two home runs his second time out. Josh Donaldson is now back in the Twins lineup. Pineda has given up just three runs in 11 IP and I look for the Twins to avoid the sweep. 8* Minnesota

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