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Pick Details


UFC EVENT
May 8 2021 at 9:05 PM ET
Marcos De Lima
at
Maurice Green
Sport: UFC | Star Rating: 8.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1200) - Final Total 3
Pick
Under 1.5 (-150) @ Pointsbet

10* Under Greene/Rogerio de Lima (8:50 ET): This is a fight scheduled for three rounds in the UFC’s Heavyweight Division. Maurice Greene is 9-5 overall in his career, including 4-3 in the UFC. His opponent, Marcos Rogerio de Lima, is 17-7-1 overall and 6-5 in the UFC. Based on Rogeria de Lima’s track record, I do not expect this fight to go very long. I’ve got the Under 1.5 rounds. 

The vast majority of Rogerio de Lima’s 25 professional bouts have ended in the first round. The exact number is 16 and that includes the last two, a win over Ben Sosoli in February of last year and a loss to Alexander Romanov in November. Then you can throw in the fact that only one of Rogerio de Lima’s fights since 2014 has made it to the third round. The Under 1.5 rounds would have cashed in 14 of his last 16 fights. Rogerio de Lima is always going to come out looking to swing. Either he gets the early knockout, or gasses and gets knocked out himself. 

Greene has lost three of four with the most recent defeat coming at the hands former NFL player Greg Hardy back on Halloween night. That was an early second round stoppage (TKO), the fifth straight fight for Green that ended in a stoppage. He’s had just four decisions in his career and two of them came in his very first two professional fights. He has a submission game, so if this fight does get down on the mat, look out for that. But the bottom line here is that, no matter how this fight ends, it won’t take long. 10* Under Greene/Rogerio de Lima

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