Pick Details

(311) Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan (312) 7:00 PM | Wed, Nov 18 2020
Sport: NCAAF | Star Rating: 5.0 Evaluation: Win (500)
TOL (-230) @ Draftkings

I'm playing TOLEDO on the money-line. I see this game going one of two ways. Either Toledo wins big. Or, Toledo wins a close one. Either way, I see Toledo winning. I suggest the possibility of a "close one," as Toledo is off a 3-point game and as both of EMU's games have been decided by a touchdown or less. Note that the Eagles lost both of those SU, while winning both ATS. Going back further finds that the Eagles are 5-11 SU as underdogs but 11-5 ATS. Again, one would be much better off playing against them on the moneyline. Toledo suffered a very tough loss against Western Michigan last time out. However, the Rockets also destroyed Bowling Green by a 38-3 score. In terms of talent, I believe that Eastern Michigan is closer to Bowling Green than it is to Western Michigan. Yes, the WMU loss was a heartbreaker. However, while not as dramatic, the Eagles' loss against Ball State was also pretty "heartbreaking." (EMU was up 24-13 in the second half and gave up winning TD with six seconds left.) I believe Toledo, better on both sides of the ball, will prove more capable at bouncing back. Rockets win. 


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Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
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