|TOL (-230) @ Draftkings|
I'm playing TOLEDO on the money-line. I see this game going one of two ways. Either Toledo wins big. Or, Toledo wins a close one. Either way, I see Toledo winning. I suggest the possibility of a "close one," as Toledo is off a 3-point game and as both of EMU's games have been decided by a touchdown or less. Note that the Eagles lost both of those SU, while winning both ATS. Going back further finds that the Eagles are 5-11 SU as underdogs but 11-5 ATS. Again, one would be much better off playing against them on the moneyline. Toledo suffered a very tough loss against Western Michigan last time out. However, the Rockets also destroyed Bowling Green by a 38-3 score. In terms of talent, I believe that Eastern Michigan is closer to Bowling Green than it is to Western Michigan. Yes, the WMU loss was a heartbreaker. However, while not as dramatic, the Eagles' loss against Ball State was also pretty "heartbreaking." (EMU was up 24-13 in the second half and gave up winning TD with six seconds left.) I believe Toledo, better on both sides of the ball, will prove more capable at bouncing back. Rockets win.