|WAS (-106) @ pinnacle|
Taking the Capitals for 8* here...
The Capitals have generated 51% of expected goals in their last 10 games at 5 on 5 which is good for 13th in the league.
The Penguins are all the way down at 25th in the league with 48% of expected goals.
Last game the Capitals lost in a shootout, which is the 4th time they lost to the Penguins this season. Washington can do much better than 1-4 against their rivals, especially at home. They should take this game and get some revenge.
There's also the trend of fading a team with a close game winning streak, which is winning at 52% with an 8% ROI over the last 550 bets.
The Capitals have been playing better and should be higher favorites in this game.