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Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 4 2021 at 6:40 PM ET
Chicago
at
Cincinnati
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Push (0) - Final Total 9
Pick
Over 9 (-125) @ caesars
The wind is blowing out in Cincinnati today, and anyone who follows baseball betting closely knows that Cincinnati and Chicago are two of the most weather-dependent ballparks in the MLB. You can tell by the Reds’ offensive numbers at home that the wind has been blowing out a lot in Cincinnati this year — they’re averaging 7.73 runs per game at home to this point — by far the most in the Majors. Chicago, on the other hand? Averaging 5.5 runs per game on the road.
 
-Dylan Cease starts for the White Sox and has been pretty good this year, but two numbers really stick out to me about him. First, he’s throwing 54% fastballs this year. The Reds are hitting fastballs as well as any other team in the league! And that’s why they’re leading the league in slugging%. The second number that sticks out to me is his 34% Fly Ball Rate this year, which is 11 percentage points higher than his previous two years in the league. He’s allowing a ton of hard hit fly balls, and that’s a dangerous recipe for a starting pitcher in Cincinnati right now.
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