|-1.5 DAV (-115) @ Fanduel|
I'm playing on DAVIDSON. Last season's lone meeting resulted in an 85-50 victory for Davidson. While this one figures to be closer than that, the Wildcats again have a talent advantage. Davidson has a big edge on the defensive side of the ball and that will make the difference in this one. The Wildcats are allowing 62.2 ppg on the road. The Minutemen, on the other hand, are allowing 82 ppg at home. Both teams have won three straight. I like that the Wildcats played on the 20th, as compared to the Minutemen playing on the 17th. When winning, in my opinion, a few days off between games is preferable to six days off. Note that UMass is 0-5 SU the past five times that it played with five or six day's rest in between games. The Wildcats have long thrived in the role of small road favorites. They're 5-1 SU/ATS the past six times that they were listed as road favorites of three or fewer points. Going back further finds them at a lucrative 26-13-1 ATS (27-13 SU) their last 40 in that role. Davidson is 44-14 SU its last 58 as a favorite. Expect the Wildcats to improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way.