|Under 9.5 (-103) @ Betamerica|
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Thursday.
Both of these teams come in riding three-game 'over' streaks, with those streaks starting with an 'over' result last Sunday night that we experienced first hand (a true 'bad beat' for us with the 'under' as the game was 3-0 heading into the bottom of the seventh inning but went 'over' by half a run with a 9-1 final score). Here, I look for those 'over' streaks to come to an end as the scene shifts to Fenway Park.
Jordan Montgomery will take the ball for the Yankees. He's held his own on the mound lately but unfortunately has been given just seven runs to work with over his last five starts. Montgomery checks in sporting a 3.39 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 11 nighttime starts this season with the 'under' cashing in seven of those games. This will be Boston's third look at Montgomery this season with minimal previous success having scored six earned runs in 12 innings against him.
Behind Montgomery is a Yankees bullpen that has been at its best on the road this season, recording a collective 3.11 ERA and 1.06 WHIP with 12 saves converted and only two blown.
Tanner Houck returns to the big leagues to make just his third start of the season for the Red Sox. In his first two starts this season - which both came back in April - he allowed five earned runs in 9 1/3 innings. Note that he faced the Yankees last September and pitched well, giving up just one unearned run over six innings here at Fenway Park. Houck will likely have a short leash in this game and that's fine for our purposes as the Red Sox bullpen has posted a 3.57 ERA and 1.34 WHIP with 13 saves converted and five blown here at home this season. Take the under (8*).
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Winning Starts Here