9 of 10 (90%) Experts with a pick against the spread are aligned. 9* play on the Philadelphia 76ers (Spread).

Cappers Analysis:

Lana Lane: 10* NBA BEAST OF THE EAST SHOWDOWN

Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last five visits to the city of Brotherly Love, and the Sixers with their backs against the wall will be pulling out all the stops to force a game 7 in Miami. Heat are 0-5 ATS in ther last five games in the playoffs as an underdog. Philly is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and as a home fav. Sixers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs a team with a winning road record. Kyle Lowry is out for the Heat after failing to perform with his bad hamstring.

Spread Knowledge: NBA Excellent Machine Grade value ***A***

Philadelphia 76ers picks are 22-11-0 when the money line is within +/-10% of the current money line since 2021-02-23 with a profit of +9 units
Philadelphia 76ers picks are 30-19-0 when playing on the same day of the week since 2018-03-22 with a profit of +9 units
Philadelphia 76ers picks are 25-16-1 when playing as the home/away team after straight-up loss since 2020-01-15 with a profit of +7 units

League Capper: Philly/Miami game 6

Analysis to come.

Tim Michael: NBA MONEY-MAKER! > > HUGE 12-4 RUN!

The Heat lead this series 3-2 but the home team has won every game of the series so far, and I think this game is going to be no different than the others. None of these games have really been close with the home team blowing out the road team in every game and I think that will continue here with a 76ers win on their home court, extending this series to 7 games. Joel Embiid got banged up even more in their previous game but he will be playing here and I expect him to make the same impact he has been making for his team in their home games here. Kyle Lowry missed the previous game and he will be missing this game too which I think will help the 76ers control the pace of the game a bit better. In 3/5 of these games in this series, the road team hasn't even put up 100+ points and it seems that whoever the home team is at the time, tends to play better defense on their home court. The 76ers are facing elimination in this game knowing they still need to take a road game in the series if they want to win it but their focus will be on winning this home game and I expect players like Embiid and Harden to step up here and give their team the best chance to win this game and extend the series. The Heat have looked great on defense in their home games and that is really how they have been winning their games in this series, with a good defensive effort. Jimmy Butler hasn't even been doing a lot on offense in their home games and he isn't getting a lot of contribution from his teammates either. I think this is going to be another game where the defensive effort dominates and I expect the 76ers to be much better on their home court and shut the Heat down here.

Will Rogers: HEAT/76ERS: EAST CONF BEST OF THE BEST

The good thing is they are at home where they’ve already beaten the Heat twice, by 20 and 8 points. It’s difficult to imagine the 76ers’ shooting not improving from the last time out. Game 5 marked the fourth time in these playoffs that the 76ers were held below 100. They averaged 117 points the next time out, the previous three instances.

Similarly, look for Miami’s shooting to decline in Game 5. They were 7 of 30, then 7 of 35 from three-point land in the previous two games here in Philly.

No one on the Sixers scored more than 17 points in Game 5. Think that might change here? With Joel Embiid, James Harden, Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris, I’m expecting at least two Sixers players to top 20 tonight.

Other than Jimmy Butler, only Bam Adebayo in Game 4 has turned in a 20+ point effort for the Heat over the last three games.

Philadelphia is 17-5 straight up, 14-8 against the spread this season following a sub-100 point game. The previous time they got held below 90 (Game 5 vs Toronto), they responded by scoring 132 in the next game.

Scott Rickenbach: UP $136,050! 10* NBA *Earliest Cash* 86%!

We have seen the zig zag theory working quite well in the NBA of late and I expect more of the same here. Philly just got blasted by the Heat in most recent game so watch them bounce right back here. The home team is a perfect 5-0 in this series and the host has actually won 7 straight meetings dating back to regular season action in March. More of the same expected here and another solid home win projected in this one.

Marc Lawrence: Marc’s Red Hot NBA 100% ATS Crush Play!

Edges - 76ers: 13-5 SUATS in the playoffs after allowing 110 or more points in a playoff game, including 3-0 SUATS if the Sixers scored 100 or fewer points in the loss … Heat: 3-8 SUATS as a dog when coming off a win of 30 or more points … With NBA playoff non-division home favorites of fewer than 3 points a perfect 6-0 SUATS since 1990 when coming off a playoff loss of 30 or more points.

Larry Ness: Larry's Las Vegas Insider: NBA 9-2 in May

Miami is the East's No. 1 seed (53-29) and Philadelphia (51-31), which won just two fewer games than the Heat (but lost tiebreakers to both Boston and Milwaukee), settled for the No. 4 seed. Joel Embiid was a Most Valuable Player candidate all season but sat out the first two games, as Miami won 106-92 and 119-103. However, Embiid made a surprise return to play Games 3 and 4 in Philadelphia. He's playing with a torn ligament in his right thumb and a face mask to protect an orbital fracture but helped Philly to 99-79 and 116-108 wins. Embiid had 42 points and 22 rebounds in the two wins and Harden had a terrific Game 4 with 31 points, seven rebounds and nine assists. However, back in Miami for Game 5, Embiid (17 & 5) looked tentative and also appeared to tweak his back. Harden managed only 14 points in 37 minutes and fellow guard Maxey, who averaged 23.0 PPG through the first four games, had just NINE points (2 of 10 shooting).

Sean Murphy: 6 IN A ROW? NBA THURSDAY SHOW STOPPER!

We won with the Heat in Game 5 of this series two nights ago - a never-in-doubt 35-point laugher. Here, I won't hesitate to go the other way, however, and back the 76ers as they look to force a seventh game in this series. The home side has won and covered in all five games in this series. Here, we'll look for the Sixers to extend that streak noting that they've gone 40-24 ATS when playing at home off an ATS loss over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 7.9 points in that situation. Better still, they're 22-11 ATS when coming off a game in which they scored 100 points or less over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by 8.4 points on average in that spot. Off a 120-point explosion in Game 5, I don't see a lot of upside for the Heat offense here. Note that the Sixers have held them to 84 or fewer field goal attempts in each of the last four games, no small feat after Miami had gotten off 92+ FG attempts in three of its previous four contests prior to that stretch. The Heat quite simply shot the lights out on Tuesday. Philadelphia on the other hand, had an awful shooting night in Miami last time out but on a positive note did manage to get off a series-high 85 FG attempts. Note that the Sixers managed to score 99 and 116 points in winning both previous home games in this series despite attempting just 67 and 68 field goals. If they can find a way to get that pace up a bit again here, I'm confident they can hang a crooked number on the Heat.

Cappers Against:

Ben Burns: **18-3 RECORD** THURS. 10* HIGH HEAT!

Best of luck!