X

Pick Details


MLB EVENT
May 5 2021 at 7:05 PM ET
Atlanta
at
Washington
Sport: MLB | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Loss (-1200) - Final Total 8
Pick
Over 8.5 (-120) @ 888sport

ASA top play 10* on OVER 8.5 Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals, 7:05 PM ET - The Nationals lead the majors with a .305 batting average against left-handed pitchers.  Braves southpaw Max Fried gets the start here as he returns from a hamstring injury.  Fried is having a rough season thus far and that includes an ugly start at Washington 4 weeks ago.  In that outing he was also opposed by the Nationals Erick Fedde and both pitchers got hit hard.  We expect similar results here.  Not only are the Nats pounding southpaws this season, the last two times Fried has pitched at Nationals Park he has allowed 5 earned runs in each start even though he lasted just 2 and 2 and 1 / 3 innings, respectively, in those two starts.  Fedde has been pitching better since struggling against the Braves 4 weeks ago but Atlanta has been a nemesis of his.  Fedde is winless in 4 career starts against the Braves and has a 12.85 ERA in those outings.  The O/U is a perfect 4-0 in those outings.  Indeed, when Fedde starts against Atlanta there has never been an under.  We do not see that changing here.  Fedde is off a quality start in his most recent outing but that was his first quality start (6 or more innings, 3 or less earned runs) of the season.  The Braves have a .273 batting average and .514 slugging percentage in night games this season.  Both of those marks lead the majors!  Considering that plus the Nationals being #1 in the majors for batting average against lefties and you can see why this one should be another high-scoring match-up just like the first one between these starting pitchers this season.  Though Washington's bullpen has been solid, too many innings may be expected of them here as Fedde prone to early exits when facing the Braves.  As for the Atlanta bullpen, the relievers have struggled this season on the road in particular and also the Braves pen has a 6.80 ERA last 5 games.  We look for plenty of runs from both sides in this one!  Bet Over

Covers Logo
50% off your first purchase
at covers experts

CLICK TO COPY PROMO CODE:
BONUS50

Winning Starts Here

FAQs

What does ‘Star Rating’ mean?
Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
We are constantly evaluating online sportsbooks and line feeds to ensure accuracy with our Expert picks. We typically have between 5-10 legal and reputable sportsbooks for our handicappers to select lines from. They are required to select the current line from these featured books so authenticity can always be confirmed – no stale lines!
All of your purchased picks will appear under My Experts >
Covers Logo
50% off your first purchase
at covers experts

CLICK TO COPY PROMO CODE:
BONUS50

Winning Starts Here

Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo