Pick Details

GB
at
IND
(461) Green Bay vs. Indianapolis (462) 4:25 PM | Sun, Nov 22 2020
Sport: NFL | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000) - Final Score IND 34 at GB 31
Pick
-1.5 IND (-108) @ Fanduel

Love Indy this week, top play of the week.


Overvalued:

Packers: Green Bay has a dominant offense as we all know, however their defensive line has a 25% pressure rate this season which is 28th in the league, while their rush defense is ranked 23rd in the league – and that’s after facing a fairly easy schedule. Green Bay is obviously a really good team given they are 7-2 on the season, however six out of their seven victories have come against non-playoff teams. 6 out of 7! In fact, their only win against a playoff team this year has come against the Saints when they were without Michael Thomas, Marcus Davenport, and David Onyemata – 3 of their most impactful players on the entire roster. Every other victory has come against a team with a losing record.

Undervalued:

Colts: Indianapolis is 6-3 on the year, but they have two losses against the Jaguars and Ravens in which they outgained their opponents by a combined 270+ total yards. If it weren’t for a few fluky turnovers that had little to do with the overall gameplay, Indianapolis would be 8-1 right now and coming off 10 days of rest and preparation for a home game. The Colts should be -3 in this spot, but aren’t for two reasons: Aaron Rodgers being on the other side, and people still not realizing how much better Indy got in the offseason. Indy is 2nd in the NFL in net yards per play this season, have a dominant defense, great coaching, and will have a fully healthy offense for the first time in weeks, pending Doyle clears concussion protocol.

FAQs

What does ‘Star Rating’ mean?
Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
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