|5 GS (-110) @ Draftkings|
8* Take Golden State (#573)
Nuggets head coach Mike Malone knows exactly why his team has gotten off to a slow start – major offseason roster changes: “To be brutally honest, we lost a guy in Mason Plumlee that has over 530 NBA games, was a starter on a playoff team. You lost a guy in Jerami Grant that’s got 450 NBA games under his belt; a bunch of playoff games. You lost Torrey Craig, who has been a rotational player for us and started 11 playoff games a year ago.”
Michael Porter Jr is still out, dealing with COVID protocols. Bol Bol isn’t ready for regular rotation minutes yet. The loss of bench depth, the lack of low post depth and Denver’s consistent struggles putting together 48 minutes of quality basketball has this team very much in the ‘don’t ask them to beat anybody decent by margin’ category here in mid-January. Denver’s wins this year? The Knicks, the depleted Sixers, two against Minnesota without Karl Anthony Towns and the Rockets – nary a solid team in the bunch.
Golden State is a solid team, with wins over the Clippers, Blazers, Raptors and Kings on their just concluded homestand. They’re coming off a bad loss to the Pacers on the finale of that homestand, blowing a fourth quarter lead thanks to some ice cold shooting: just 38% from the floor, 34% from three point range and an uncharacteristic 64% from the free throw line.
I’m not expecting a repeat performance here! I want Golden State off a loss (they haven’t lost back-2-back games since starting the season 0-2) and it’s surely worth noting Steve Kerr’s success vs Mike Malone: 4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings, including an outright upset victory over the Nuggets as 16 point underdogs on their last visit to Denver. Live dog here! Take the Warriors.