3 of 3 (100%) Experts with a pick on the moneyline are aligned. 10* play on the Seattle Mariners (Straight-up).

Capper Analysis:

Matt Fargo: Fargo's 10* MLB Saturday Sweet Spot

Miami took the opener of this series on Friday with an 8-6 victory to make it six straight wins for the Marlins which remain in second place in the National League East. They are three games out with a lot of baseball left but not many expected them to be at this point this early on. The pitching has led the way as the Marlins are allowing 3.70 rpg which is eighth lowest in baseball and its .216 BAA in No. 7 in the league. The bats have been hit or miss as they have scored three runs or less in 10 of their 19 games. The Marlins are 4-10 in their last 14 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Seattle has lost three straight games to fall to 11-9 overall which puts it two and a half games behind the Angels in the American League East. The Mariners pitching has been solid as well as they have allowed three runs or less in half of their games while allowing four runs in another four games. They still rely on a potent offense that averages 4.81 rpg which is No. 5 in the league. They have the pitching matchup edge at a great price with Robby Ray on the hill as he has three quality outings in four starts. The Mariners are 5-1 in their last six games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.15 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season. This situation is 45-17 (72.6 percent) over the last five seasons.

Scott Rickenbach: His MLB UP $56,910! 10* GAME OF THE WEEK!

The Marlins lost 8-6 yesterday but are 3-0 last 3 times they were off a loss by a multi-run margin. I know Miami has been hot but they had scored a total of 5 runs in the two games prior to yesterday's explosion at the plate. Also, they have been held to 3 or less runs so often this season. I like the road dog here regardless of the starting pitchers as Seattle has the better lineup and slightly better bullpen in my opinion as well and early season runs and ERA are proving that out. As for the expected starters here, Robbie Ray has gone undefeated with a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts versus Miami. Jesus Luzardo got hammered the last time he faced Seattle and also enters this start struggling a bit with 6 walks and 9 hits for 15 baserunners in about 9 innings of work spanning his last two starts. The real ugly start of those two was here at home and I expect another home loss for the Marlins in this one too as the Mariners put an end to Miami's hot streak.

Larry Ness: Larry's 10* Game of Month (3-0 Fri)

Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought (the longest active one in MLB) to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The Marlins joined the National League in 1993 and entering the COVID-shortened season of 2020, had made the postseason just TWICE. However, the Marlins would capture the World Series each time, in 1997 over the Indians and in 2003 over the Yankees. The Marlins overcame all sorts of team COVID issues to end a 16-year postseason drought in 2020 but the 2021 team finished 67-95. The teams played the opener of this three-game series in Miami last night, with the Marlins winning 8-6. Miami has now won SIX straight games, its longest streak since 2020. It's also the longest active win streak in the National League but at 11-8, the Marlins are three games behind the 15-6 Mets. It was Seattle's third straight loss and at 11-9, the Mariners find themselves 'looking up' at the 14-7 Angels in the AL West. Seattle will send Robbie Ray (2-1, 3.91 ERA) to the mound, while Miami counters with Jesus Luzardo (1-1, 3.71 ERA).

Seattle signed reigning American League Cy Young Award winner Robbie Ray (13-7 with a 2.84 ERA in 32 starts in 2021) away from the Toronto Blue Jays to a five-year, $115 million contract in the off season. Ray triumphed in his Opening Day start, limiting host Minnesota to one run on three hits in seven innings but he took the loss at Chicago in his second start, giving up six runs in 6.1 innings to the White Sox in a game delayed by rain. Looking a little closer, FOUR of those runs came in the second inning during a downpour. "It was a little muddy. It wasn't the greatest conditions," Ray has returned to form in his last two outings and if one 'excuses' him for that bad-weather start in Chicago, he owns a 2.37 ERA with Seattle winning all three of his other 2022 starts. Luzardo had a career-high 12-strikeout performance in his 2022 debut against the Los Angeles Angels on April 12. He allowed two hits, one walk and one run. However, we saw NONE of that last season, as he struggled with the Oakland A's and Marlins, combining for a 6-9 record and a career-worst 6.61 ERA. He enters this game with a career record of 10-12 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over 46 appearances (30 starts).

Luzardo is really NO match for Ray, who is 4-2 in eight career starts vs Miami (teams are 5-3), posting a 2.08 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. Luzardo's lone start vs Seattle came last season, when he lasted 4.2 innings while allowing four ERs (gave up three HRs!).