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Pick Details


Champions League EVENT
Apr 27 2021 at 3:00 PM ET
Chelsea
at
Real Madrid
Sport: Champions League | Star Rating: 10.0 Evaluation: Win (1000) - Final Total 2
Pick
Under 2.5 (-127) @ Betamerica

10* Under Chelsea/Real Madrid (3:00 ET): It was back on January 26th that Chelsea hired Thomas Tuchel to be its new coach, replacing Frank Lampard, and save its floundering 2020-21 campaign. The Blues spent a lot of money in the offseason and floundering in the middle of the Premier League table is not where they felt they belonged. Sure enough, Tuchel has turned things around by guiding Chelsea up to 4th place in the EPL standings. A top four finish and Champions League qualification is very much in play for them at this point. Of course, there is also the matter of winning THIS year’s Champions League. 

Since Tuchel took over, Chelsea matches have become incredibly low-scoring. Of the 21 total, both domestic and European, 18 have seen two or fewer total goals scored. They have allowed multiple goals just once under Tuchel with an average of 0.7 expected goals per match. 1-0 wins have become rather commonplace and that was the final score when they beat West Ham over the weekend. That was the club’s third consecutive clean sheet (shutout) as well. Here in the Champions League, there were just three combined goals scored in the two legs of the quarter final with FC Porto. 

Semifinal opponent Real Madrid, like Chelsea, is still wiping the egg off its face over the Super League implosion. Then there was a disappointing 0-0 draw with Real Betis in La Liga play over the weekend. Embarrassment and disappointment aside, Los Blancos have now turned in four consecutive clean sheets and have never allowed more than one goal in a current 17-match unbeaten run! The thing is, three of their last four fixtures (including the second leg of the CL quarters vs. Liverpool) have been goalless draws. Goals should be especially hard to come by in this first leg of the semis and I’ll take the Under. 10* Under Chelsea/Real Madrid

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