Save for the Maple Leafs’ 5-0 victory in Game 1, the combined score has gone over the total in every game in this best-of-seven series. And it’s not as if the totals have been set low by oddsmakers, either:

• Game 2: Lightning 5, Maple Leafs 3 (o/u 6.5)

• Game 3: Maple Leafs 5, Lightning 2 (o/u 6)

• Game 4: Lightning 7, Maple Leafs 3 (o/u 6.5)

• Game 5: Maple Leafs 4, Lightning 3, (o/u 6.5)

• Game 6: Lightning 4, Maple Leafs 3 OT (o/u 6.5)

As you can see, the winner of every game in this series scored no fewer than four goals, which includes Game 1. And outside of Game 1, the loser has scored no fewer than two goals and is averaging 2.3 goals per game.

It’s not as if this matchup doesn’t boast quality goaltenders either, is Andrei Vasilevskiy is a two-time Stanley Cup champion, a four-time All-Star, plus a Vezina Trophy (2019) and Conn Smythe Trophy (2021) winner as well. Jack Campbell, meanwhile, posted a 31-9-6 record in 47 starts this season for the Leafs. The scoring output in this series is more of a testament to the offensive firepower on both sides.

The Over is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams, is 18-5 in the Lightning’s last 23 games overall and is 43-16-7 in the Maple Leafs’ last 66 games overall.