|Over 50.5 (-110) @ Draftkings|
The set-up: Both teams are struggling this year. The Texans are eseentially eliminated from playoff contention, but the Lions still have a shot. After getting blanked 20-0 by Carolina last week, I expect a much better effort from the Lions offense on the national stage on their home field. Houston only averages 78 yards per game on the ground, so its game-plan will be to let DeShaun Watson take over this game. Watson comes in off one of his strongest games, going for 344 yards and two touchdowns in a win over New England at home, their third win of the year. These are two teams hungry for a win and I expect that competition to translate into production on the field.
The picks: Additionally note that Houston has seen the total go "over" the number in ten of its last 14 after Watson throws for two or more TD's in a win in its last outing, while Detroit has seen the total go "over" in ten of its last 11 at home. This one has "shootout" written all over it!
This is a 9* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Houston/Detroit.