Pick Details

(53) Vancouver vs. Calgary (54) 9:00 PM | Mon, Jan 18 2021
Sport: NHL | Star Rating: 5.0 Evaluation: Loss (-500)
VAN (133) @ pinnacle

Taking the Canucks for 5* here...

This line is way too high as I see these teams being relatively similar in skill level. Lots of recency bias with the Flames significantly outplaying the Canucks last game. However, that was a bad spot for Vancouver -- Flames were rested and Canucks played 3 games in 4 nights. They're still playing their 4th game in 6 nights but it isn't quite as bad. Especially with that little extra revenge motivation that we've been witnessing around the league this season with the altered schedules.

These two teams have relatively similar expected goals numbers. The Canucks have a slight edge at 47% at 5 on 5 this season compared to 45.5% for the Flames. But we're not going to read too much into that since it's so early in the season. 

There are some system plays that work in the Canucks favor, namely, visitors that are significant underdogs (10% ROI over 1500 games) and underdogs on a 4+ game road trip (16% ROI over 450 games). These two strategies + revenge + relatively equal expected goals stats + the line value makes this a profitable play.

Good luck!


What does ‘Star Rating’ mean?
Star Rating is the number of units the handicapper is risking on the bet. Therefore, if the Star Rating is 7.0, it is a 7-unit pick. On plus odds picks, the handicapper is risking their Star Rating unit amount. On negative odds picks, the handicapper is betting enough to win their Star Rating unit amount.
We are constantly evaluating online sportsbooks and line feeds to ensure accuracy with our Expert picks. We typically have between 5-10 legal and reputable sportsbooks for our handicappers to select lines from. They are required to select the current line from these featured books so authenticity can always be confirmed – no stale lines!
All of your purchased picks will appear under My Experts >
Get the best sports betting information delivered straight to your inbox for free.
By signing up for the Covers newsletter, you agree to receive electronic communications from Covers about our products and services, as well as other content that may be of interest to you
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo